Confidence Interval for proportions

For a Single Population Proportion:

1. Parameter of Interest

Type Symbol Description
Population Proportion p The true proportion you're estimating
Sample Proportion p^ Number of successes / sample size

2. Check Conditions

Condition Requirement How to Check
Random Sample Sample randomly selected State whether met
Success Condition n×p^10 Calculate and verify
Failure Condition n×(1p^)10 Calculate and verify

3. Calculate Sample Proportion

p^=number of successesn

4. Standard Error

Find in standard error, but for proportion:

SE=p^(1p^)n

5. Critical Values

Confidence Level z Value
80% 1.282
90% 1.645
95% 1.96
99% 2.576

6. Confidence Interval Formula

p^±z×SE

7. Interpretation Template

"We are [confidence level]% confident that the true population proportion is between [lower bound] and [upper bound]."

For Difference in Population Proportions:

1. Check Conditions

Condition Requirement Notes
Random Samples Both groups randomly sampled Essential for inference
Independence Groups must be independent No overlap between groups
Success/Failure Check for both groups All must be 10

2. Calculations

Standard Error

Find in standard error, but for difference in proportions:

SE=p^1(1p^1)n1+p^2(1p^2)n2

Confidence Interval

(p^1p^2)±z×SE

3. Interpretation Guide

Result Interpretation
Positive Interval p1 likely larger than p2
Negative Interval p1 likely smaller than p2
Contains Zero No significant difference detected

Quick Reference Table

Component Single Proportion Difference in Proportions
Point Estimate p^ p^1p^2
Standard Error p^(1p^)n p^1(1p^1)n1+p^2(1p^2)n2
Critical Value z z
Conditions np^10 and n(1p^)10 Check both groups separately